Day 8-10 Timeline Forecast Survey and Focus Groups

OMB Control No: 0648-0757	ICR Reference No: 201707-0648-003
Status: Historical Active	Previous ICR Reference No:
Agency/Subagency: DOC/NOAA	Agency Tracking No:
Title: Day 8-10 Timeline Forecast Survey and Focus Groups
Type of Information Collection: New collection (Request for a new OMB Control Number)	Common Form ICR:  No
Type of Review Request: Regular
OIRA Conclusion Action: Approved without change	Conclusion Date: 09/07/2017
Retrieve Notice of Action (NOA)	Date Received in OIRA: 08/02/2017
Terms of Clearance:

	Inventory as of this Action	Requested	Previously Approved
Expiration Date	09/30/2020	36 Months From Approved
Responses	775	0	0
Time Burden (Hours)	485	0	0
Cost Burden (Dollars)	0	0	0

---

Abstract: Increasingly, user demand is reflecting a need for probabilistic forecasts in the 8 to 10 day time frame. Improved forecast capability means the Weather Prediction Center (WPC) can begin to address this user need, but the task is complicated by the range of possible forecast format and delivery needs and options. WPC is seeking user-tested and informed guidance on how to present forecasts at the 8 to10 day time frame. WPC is looking to understand how probabilistic forecasts can improve core user decision-making in this range, and for guidance on the format and design of forecasts, based on iterative field-testing of core users. WPC requires a robust understanding of core user needs in this time frame, as well as explanation of the preferred web delivery methods and the optimal mix of design and delivery considerations. WPC also requires information about what products end-users are utilizing and how they are being used. To assess ways to improve guidance products for producing forecasts, the project will include meeting with forecasters, conducting phone interviews and web-based focus groups with core partners and posting an online public survey.

---

Authorizing Statute(s): None

Citations for New Statutory Requirements: None

---

Associated Rulemaking Information
RIN:	Stage of Rulemaking:	Federal Register Citation:	Date:
	Not associated with rulemaking

---

Federal Register Notices & Comments
60-day Notice:	Federal Register Citation:	Citation Date:
	82 FR 21981	05/11/2017
30-day Notice:	Federal Register Citation:	Citation Date:
	82 FR 35935	08/02/2017
Did the Agency receive public comments on this ICR? No

---

Number of Information Collection (IC) in this ICR: 2

IC Title Form No. Form Name Online survey NA 8-10 day probabalistic product survey Focus groups and interviews NA Probabilistic 8-10 day forecast users’ groups

---

ICR Summary of Burden

	Total Approved	Previously Approved	Change Due to New Statute	Change Due to Agency Discretion	Change Due to Adjustment in Estimate	Change Due to Potential Violation of the PRA
Annual Number of Responses	775	0	0	775	0	0
Annual Time Burden (Hours)	485	0	0	485	0	0
Annual Cost Burden (Dollars)	0	0	0	0	0	0

Burden increases because of Program Change due to Agency Discretion: Yes

Burden Increase Due to: Miscellaneous Actions

Burden decreases because of Program Change due to Agency Discretion: No

Burden Reduction Due to:

Short Statement: This is a new information collection.

---

Annual Cost to Federal Government: $44,882

Does this IC contain surveys, censuses, or employ statistical methods? Yes Part B of Supporting Statement

Does this ICR request any personally identifiable information (see OMB Circular No. A-130 for an explanation of this term)? Please consult with your agency's privacy program when making this determination.     No

Does this ICR include a form that requires a Privacy Act Statement (see 5 U.S.C. §552a(e)(3))? Please consult with your agency's privacy program when making this determination.     No

Is this ICR related to the Affordable Care Act [Pub. L. 111-148 & 111-152]? No

Is this ICR related to the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, [Pub. L. 111-203]? No

Is this ICR related to the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 (ARRA)? No

Is this ICR related to the Pandemic Response? Uncollected

Agency Contact: Kate Quigley 843 327-1114

---

Common Form ICR:  No

---

On behalf of this Federal agency, I certify that the collection of information encompassed by this request complies with 5 CFR 1320.9 and the related provisions of 5 CFR 1320.8(b)(3).
The following is a summary of the topics, regarding the proposed collection of information, that the certification covers:
		(a) It is necessary for the proper performance of agency functions;
		(b) It avoids unnecessary duplication;
		(c) It reduces burden on small entities;
		(d) It uses plain, coherent, and unambiguous language that is understandable to respondents;
		(e) Its implementation will be consistent and compatible with current reporting and recordkeeping practices;
		(f) It indicates the retention periods for recordkeeping requirements;
		(g) It informs respondents of the information called for under 5 CFR 1320.8 (b)(3) about:
			(i) Why the information is being collected;
			(ii) Use of information;
			(iii) Burden estimate;
			(iv) Nature of response (voluntary, required for a benefit, or mandatory);
			(v) Nature and extent of confidentiality; and
			(vi) Need to display currently valid OMB control number;
		(h) It was developed by an office that has planned and allocated resources for the efficient and effective management and use of the information to be collected.
		(i) It uses effective and efficient statistical survey methodology (if applicable); and
		(j) It makes appropriate use of information technology.
If you are unable to certify compliance with any of these provisions, identify the item by leaving the box unchecked and explain the reason in the Supporting Statement.
Certification Date: 08/02/2017

---